Arrow Insights  Subscriber Login
 


Welcome to Arrow Insights

Arrow Insights is a research firm with a focus
on macro-economic factors that support both
fundamental and technical analysis. We believe
that theoretical research is most useful when it
can actually be applied to tactical trading and
asset allocation strategies.


Arrow Insight Indexes

AI Announces Reconstitution Postponement for the AIQVM Index - July 2020

A.I. Managed Futures Volatility Index

The A.I. Managed Futures Volatility Index
(AIMFV) is a long/short/flat diversified
managed futures index. 

Learn more...

 

InFocus

The Price of “Stuff” Screams, FIRE!
September 21, 2021

When Euphoria Fragilizes the Financial System – Price Instability Shakes It Down!
In 1982, Hyman Minsky published Can It Happen Again? referring to the Great Depression of 1929, bred primarily from an antecedent factor—a mass psychology of financial euphoria. Back then, prior to the market crash, euphoria bred a concomitant explosion of corporate debt accumulation that fueled speculation and rising income inequality, which bred social and geopolitical unrest (populist riots and World War II).

Minsky’s body of work on investor behavior provided the author’s insight into the crux of investing. Investing is taking risk to hedge portfolio assets from the Price Volatility of things mined, farmed, harvested from the wild, produced, refined, and distributed as products for consumption (Stuff). Financial assets become more volatile when the Price of Stuff goes wild! Minsky’s insights led to the author’s creation of The Price Index Score (PIS, red line Figures 1-2) in Feb 2001.